About Me
My name is Big Pick Ceez — a.k.a. Cesar Conde — and I've been a professional bettor for over three years.
For most of that time, every morning looked the same: hours of pulling data, checking matchups, and grinding numbers just to land on a few plays I actually trusted. It worked. But it took forever, and the truth is no human does that perfectly every single day.
So I taught everything I know to a machine. Every edge, every rule, every filter I'd built over three years — and then I turned it loose on data far deeper than the human brain can process by hand.
That's the part that changes the game. The model doesn't wake up tired. It doesn't rush. It doesn't skip a data point because it's busy or having an off day. Every morning it scans the entire board the exact same way, grades every play against the system, and sends the best ones straight to Telegram.
I backtested it across three years of results and ran it live myself before I ever put it in front of anyone. It's proven, it's consistent, and it's finally ready to help the world.
How It Works
Player Props
Every prop runs through a model built on one rule: only bet what the numbers back. It reads hit rates, recent form, matchup splits, pitcher matchups, park factors, and live pricing — then grades each play against a strict filter before it's ever allowed on the card. The raw prop data the model leans on, I pull through Outlier — the same tool the sharpest players use to track props in real time.
What you don't see is the layer on top: the kill rules, the thresholds, and the conviction logic that decide which plays are actually strong enough to bet. Anyone can stare at a hit rate. The edge is everything that happens after that — and that's the part the machine does in seconds, every morning.
Money Lines & Run Lines
Game lines work on the same discipline, just pointed at the matchup instead of the player. The model weighs starting pitching, bullpen depth, how each team performs against a given side, the run environment, and where the market has set the price — and it only flags a side when the edge clears the bar.
No betting a team because it "should" win. No chasing. If the number and the data don't line up in our favor, there's no play. How much each edge is worth, and how hard to lean on it, stays under the hood — because that's what turns a good read into a system you can run every single day.
Try It Free
The Free Chat gets you 2–3 plays every day, posted after the full slate drops, with an honest running record — every win and every loss, nothing hidden. Tail along, build a little bankroll, and watch the system work with your own money on the line. It's free, and it stays free.
Go Premium
Once you've seen enough, Premium is where the whole thing opens up: the full daily slate posted first — before the lines move — with exact sizing on every play (which ones we hammer, and how much) and live updates through the day. It starts with 7 days free, so you can run the entire system before you ever pay a cent.
Best of luck out there — and Secure the Value. ⚡— Ceez